NM Cupen 2025-26 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Bodo/Glimt won the NM Cupen 2025-26.

Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 128

Førde—

hodd100%

Match →

Arendal100%

jerv—

Match →

Brumunddal—

Kongsvinger100%

Match →

Nordstrand—

Lyn100%

Match →

Flekkerøy—

Egersund100%

Match →

Vigør—

Start100%

Match →

Bærum—

Stabaek100%

Match →

Træff—

Aalesund100%

Match →

Pors Grenland—

ODD Ballklubb100%

Match →

Lørenskog—

Lillestrom100%

Match →

Finnsnes—

Tromsdalen Uil100%

Match →

Spjelkavik—

Brattvåg100%

Match →

Strindheim—

Stjørdals-Blink100%

Match →

Ull/Kisa—

Strommen100%

Match →

Vestfossen—

Mjondalen100%

Match →

Gneist—

Asane100%

Match →

Madla—

Sandnes ULF100%

Match →

Nardo—

Levanger100%

Match →

Råde—

Moss100%

Match →

Round of 64

Follo—

Lyn100%

Match →

Arendal—

Egersund100%

Match →

Asker—

Mjondalen100%

Match →

Round of 32

Mjondalen—

Brann100%

Match →

Kongsvinger—

KFUM Oslo100%

Match →

Tromsdalen Uil100%

Sandefjord—

Match →

Round of 16

Molde—

Bodo/Glimt100%

Match →

KFUM Oslo100%

Tromso—

Match →

Bjarg—

Viking100%

Match →

Quarter-finals

Viking—

Aalesund100%

Match →

KFUM Oslo100%

Fredrikstad—

Match →

Bryne—

Brann100%

Match →

Semi-finals

Bodo/Glimt100%

KFUM Oslo—

Match →

Brann100%

Aalesund—

Match →

Final

Bodo/Glimt100%

Brann—

Match →

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Bodo/Glimt	1745	100%	100%	100%	100%
2	Brann	1512	—	100%	100%	100%
3	Kristiansund BK	1306	—	—	—

• 37 team(s) without a rating were excluded

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works