Copa Argentina 2026 cup forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Estudiantes L.P. win the Copa Argentina in 23% of 10,000 simulations.
Run your own simulations →Bracket · advance probability per side
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
drawn each run — random draw
Semi-finals
drawn each run — random draw
Final
drawn each run — random draw
Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches
| # | Team | Elo | Win | Reach final | Reach SF | Reach QF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 1490 | 23% | 39% | 53% | 83% |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 1500 | 17% | 27% | 36% | 54% |
| 3 |  Racing Club | 1458 | 16% | 28% | 39% |
- future rounds use a random draw; real draws apply seedings and country protections not modelled here
- teams entering in later rounds are not yet included
- 28 team(s) without a rating were excluded
- 1 tie(s) were awarded to the rated side over an unrated opponent
Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works
← All season forecasts
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Belgrano Cordoba
Banfield
Platense
Atletico Tucuman
Instituto Cordoba
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
River Plate
Rosario Central
Godoy Cruz
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Huracan
Lanus
Tigre
Temperley
Talleres Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
Argentinos JRS
San Lorenzo
San Martin S.J.
Aldosivi
Atletico DE Rafaela
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Deportivo Riestra
San Martin Tucuman
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto