CONCACAF Champions League 2026 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Toluca won the CONCACAF Champions League 2026.

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Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 32

Forge—

Tigres UANL100%

L1 →L2 →

CD Olimpia—

Club America100%

L1 →L2 →

San Diego100%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas—

L1 →L2 →

Xelajú—

Monterrey100%

Cruz Azul100%

Nashville SC100%

Real Espana—

Los Angeles FC100%

L1 →L2 →

Defence Force—

Philadelphia Union100%

FC Cincinnati100%

Vancouver Whitecaps100%

L1 →L2 →

Sporting San Miguelito20%

Los Angeles Galaxy80%

L1 →L2 →

Round of 16

Philadelphia Union—

Club America100%

L1 →L2 →

Monterrey—

Cruz Azul100%

L1 →L2 →

Los Angeles FC100%

LD Alajuelense—

L1 →L2 →

Quarter-finals

Nashville SC100%

Club America—

L1 →L2 →

Los Angeles FC100%

Cruz Azul—

Tigres UANL45%

Semi-finals

Tigres UANL100%

Toluca100%

Final

Toluca100%

Tigres UANL—

Match →

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Toluca	1551	100%	100%	100%	100%
2	CS Cartagines	1201	—	—	—	—
3	LD Alajuelense	1304	—	—	—

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works

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