Schweizer Cup 2026-27 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

FC ST. Gallen win the Schweizer Cup in 17% of 10,000 simulations.

Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 64

Amical Saint-Prex—

Stade Nyonnais100%

Match →

Bavois—

Servette FC100%

Match →

Biel-Bienne—

FC Aarau100%

Match →

Buochs—

FC Luzern100%

Match →

Cham—

SC Kriens100%

Match →

Collex-Bossy—

Étoile Carouge100%

Match →

Courtételle—

FC Basel 1893100%

Match →

Italien—

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy100%

Match →

Kerzers—

FC Sion100%

Match →

Kosova Neuchatel—

Lausanne100%

Match →

Liestal—

BSC Young Boys100%

Match →

Meyrin—

Neuchatel Xamax FC100%

Match →

Rebstein—

FC WIL 1900100%

Match →

Regensdorf—

Grasshoppers100%

Match →

Rorschach—

FC Schaffhausen100%

Match →

Rotkreuz—

Bellinzona100%

Match →

Saxon Sports—

FC Thun100%

Match →

Terre Sainte—

Yverdon Sport100%

Match →

Thalwil—

FC ST. Gallen100%

Match →

Tuggen—

FC Zurich100%

Match →

Vedeggio—

FC Lugano100%

Match →

YF Juventus—

Rapperswil100%

Match →

Zürich City—

FC Winterthur100%

Match →

Round of 32

drawn each run — random draw

Round of 16

drawn each run — random draw

Quarter-finals

drawn each run — random draw

Semi-finals

drawn each run — random draw

Final

drawn each run — random draw

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	FC ST. Gallen	1461	17%	29%	39%	59%
2	FC Lugano	1458	15%	27%	37%	57%
3	FC Sion	1451	15%	26%	36%

• future rounds use a random draw; real draws apply seedings and country protections not modelled here
• teams entering in later rounds are not yet included
• 41 team(s) without a rating were excluded
• 23 tie(s) were awarded to the rated side over an unrated opponent

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works