Suomen Cup 2026 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Inter Turku win the Suomen Cup in 65% of 10,000 simulations.

Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 128

Puimur / Mando Utd—

HIFK Helsinki100%

Match →

Kooteepee—

Lahti100%

Match →

Vaajakoski—

JJK100%

Match →

HaPK Edustus—

SJK100%

Match →

POHU—

Gnistan100%

Match →

Kiisto—

Rops100%

Match →

SalPa II—

VPS100%

Match →

Kiffen 08 III—

Mariehamn100%

Match →

AC Oulu—

FF Jaro100%

Match →

EIF—

Turku PS100%

Match →

LePa—

Honka100%

Match →

Lasten—

Haka100%

Match →

Round of 64

SalPa—

Turku PS100%

Match →

VPS II—

SJK100%

Match →

GBK—

FF Jaro100%

Match →

Round of 32

Inter Turku100%

JS Hercules—

Match →

SJK100%

PEPO—

Match →

PK-35—

KuPS100%

Match →

Round of 16

Mariehamn—

Lahti100%

Match →

SJK Akatemia—

SJK100%

Match →

VPS100%

Haka—

Match →

Quarter-finals

Honka—

HJK Helsinki100%

Match →

KuPS—

VPS100%

Match →

Ilves100%

Lahti—

Match →

Semi-finals

VPS—

Inter Turku100%

Match →

HJK Helsinki100%

Ilves—

Match →

Final

Inter Turku65%

HJK Helsinki35%

Match →

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Inter Turku	1280	65%	100%	100%	100%
2	HJK Helsinki	1188	35%	100%	100%	100%
3	Mariehamn	910	—	—	—

• 97 team(s) without a rating were excluded

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works