Copa Chile 2026 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

U. Catolica win the Copa Chile in 26% of 10,000 simulations.

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	U. Catolica	1453	26%	39%	56%	77%
2	Coquimbo Unido	1415	19%	31%	48%	72%
3	Colo Colo	1393	15%	27%	45%	69%
4	Universidad de Chile	1372	11%	22%	40%	65%

• future rounds use a random draw; real draws apply seedings and country protections not modelled here
• teams entering in later rounds are not yet included
• 6 team(s) without a rating were excluded

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works