Cup 2025-26 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Aluminij won the Cup 2025-26.

Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 32

Ljutomer—

Rudar100%

Match →

Škofja Loka—

Nafta100%

Match →

Vipava—

Bravo100%

Match →

Žiri—

Aluminij100%

Match →

Beltinci—

Radomlje100%

Match →

Makole—

Celje100%

Match →

Šencur—

Olimpija Ljubljana100%

Match →

Tabor Sežana—

Primorje100%

Match →

Brinje-Grosuplje100%

Maribor—

Match →

Dravinja—

Mura100%

Match →

Round of 16

Aluminij100%

NK Polana—

Match →

Brinje-Grosuplje100%

Bistrica—

Match →

Bravo100%

Rudar—

Match →

Quarter-finals

Dekani—

Radomlje100%

Match →

Brinje-Grosuplje100%

Olimpija Ljubljana—

Match →

Fužinar—

Aluminij100%

Match →

Semi-finals

Radomlje—

Brinje-Grosuplje100%

Match →

Bravo—

Aluminij100%

Match →

Final

Brinje-Grosuplje—

Aluminij100%

Match →

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Aluminij	1114	100%	100%	100%	100%
2	Maribor	1312	—	—	—	—
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	1308	—	—	—

• 19 team(s) without a rating were excluded

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works