Cup 2025-26 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Dukagjini won the Cup 2025-26.

Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 32

Ballkani100%

Rilindja 1974—

Match →

Llapi100%

Vjosa—

Match →

Trepça Mitrovicë—

Malisheva100%

Match →

Gjilani100%

Istogu—

Match →

Dukagjini100%

Ramiz Sadiku—

Match →

FC Besa Peja—

Drita100%

Match →

Drenica Skënderaj100%

Prizreni—

Match →

Ferizaj100%

Tefik Canga—

Match →

Prishtina e Re100%

KF Lepenci—

Match →

Liria Prizren100%

Suhareka—

Match →

Flamurtari—

Vushtrria100%

Match →

2 Korriku—

Dinamo Ferizaj100%

Match →

TOP Football—

Prishtina100%

Match →

Shkolla E Futbollit Istogu 03—

Feronikeli100%

Match →

Kika—

Trepça'89100%

Match →

Round of 16

Drenica Skënderaj61%

Ferizaj39%

Match →

Drita—

Llapi100%

Match →

Dukagjini100%

Prishtina e Re—

Match →

Quarter-finals

Dukagjini100%

Feronikeli—

Match →

Ballkani100%

Gjilani—

Match →

Ferizaj100%

Vushtrria—

Match →

Semi-finals

Ballkani—

Dukagjini100%

L1 →L2 →

Llapi—

Ferizaj100%

L1 →L2 →

Final

Ferizaj—

Dukagjini100%

Match →

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Dukagjini	1174	100%	100%	100%	100%
2	Prishtina	1109	—	—	—	—
3	Trepça'89	1028	—	—	—

• 16 team(s) without a rating were excluded

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works