Cup 2025-26 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Dinamo Tirana won the Cup 2025-26.

Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 64

Korabi Peshkopi100%

Veleçiku Koplik—

Match →

Laci100%

Këlcyra—

Match →

Skenderbeu Korce100%

Basania—

Match →

Flamurtari100%

Naftëtari Kuçovë—

Match →

FK Kukesi100%

Tërbuni Pukë—

Match →

Vora100%

Maliqi—

Match →

Besa Kavajë100%

Shkumbini Peqin—

Match →

Apolonia Fier100%

Besëlidhja Lezhë—

Match →

Lushnja100%

Butrinti Sarandë—

Match →

Pogradeci100%

Delvina—

Match →

Kastrioti Krujë100%

Devolli—

Match →

Iliria Fushë-Krujë100%

Luzi 2008—

Match →

Round of 32

Flamurtari100%

Tomori Berat—

Match →

Laci100%

Luftëtari—

Match →

Apolonia Fier100%

Lushnja—

Match →

Round of 16

Bylis100%

Laci—

Match →

Dinamo Tirana100%

Besa Kavajë—

Match →

Tirana100%

Skenderbeu Korce—

Match →

Quarter-finals

Bylis—

Vllaznia Shkodër100%

L1 →L2 →

Teuta Durrës—

Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%

L1 →L2 →

Tirana—

Dinamo Tirana100%

L1 →L2 →

Semi-finals

Dinamo Tirana100%

Vllaznia Shkodër—

L1 →L2 →

Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%

AF Elbasani—

L1 →L2 →

Final

Dinamo Tirana100%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë—

Match →

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Dinamo Tirana	1156	100%	100%	100%	100%
2	FK Kukesi	996	—	—	—	—
3	Skenderbeu Korce	1074	—	—	—

• 16 team(s) without a rating were excluded

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works