Cup 2026-27 cup forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Mika win the Cup in 83% of 10,000 simulations.
Run your own simulations →Bracket · advance probability per side
Final
drawn each run — random draw
Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches
| # | Team | Elo | Win | Reach final | Reach R32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mika | 1067 | 83% | 100% | 100% |
| 2 |  Lernayin Artsakh | 828 | 17% | 100% | 100% |
- future rounds use a random draw; real draws apply seedings and country protections not modelled here
- teams entering in later rounds are not yet included
- 10 team(s) without a rating were excluded
- 2 tie(s) were awarded to the rated side over an unrated opponent
Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works
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