Cup 2025-26 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Mornar won the Cup 2025-26.

Bracket · advance probability per side

Round of 16

Igalo—

Mladost DG100%

Match →

Otrant-Olympic100%

Rudar—

Match →

Dečić100%

Buducnost Podgorica—

Match →

Jedinstvo—

Petrovac100%

Match →

Jezero100%

Bokelj—

Match →

Iskra100%

Arsenal Tivat—

Match →

Sutjeska100%

Lovćen—

Match →

Mornar100%

Grbalj—

Match →

Quarter-finals

Iskra—

Mornar100%

Match →

Mladost DG—

Jezero100%

Match →

Petrovac—

Otrant-Olympic100%

Match →

Semi-finals

Otrant-Olympic—

Dečić100%

L1 →L2 →

Mornar100%

Jezero—

L1 →L2 →

Final

Dečić—

Mornar100%

Match →

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Mornar	1158	100%	100%	100%	100%
2	Buducnost Podgorica	1095	—	—	—	—
3	Sutjeska	1139	—	—	—

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works