Leagues Cup 2026 cup forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Cruz Azul win the Leagues Cup in 19% of 10,000 simulations.

Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Cruz Azul	1580	19%	31%	46%	66%
2	Inter Miami	1559	16%	26%	42%	64%
3	Toluca	1551	13%	22%	36%	56%
4	Tigres UANL	1499	6.0%	13%	25%	45%

• future rounds use a random draw; real draws apply seedings and country protections not modelled here

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works