Copa America 2024 tournament forecast

10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions

Argentina won the Copa America 2024.

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

3rd Place Final

Final

#	Team	Elo	Win	Reach final	Reach SF	Reach QF
1	Argentina	2085	100%	100%	100%	100%
2	Brazil	1941	—	—	—	100%
3	Uruguay	1793	—	—	100%

Group phase

Group-by-group projections — free with an account.

Forecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works