Úrvalsdeild season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Vikingur Reykjavik win the league in 99% of 10,000 simulations.
Upcoming · next 14 days · model win / draw / loss
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026, 19:15 |  IA Akranes | 1 34%X 30%2 36% | 1–1 | |
| 20 Jul 2026, 19:15 |  Breidablik | 1 18%X 25%2 57% | 1–2 | |
| 24 Jul 2026, 20:00 |  Keflavik | 1 91%X 9%2 0% | 2–0 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 19:15 |  Stjarnan | 1 27%X 28%2 45% | 1–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 19:15 |  FH hafnarfjordur | 1 59%X 24%2 17% | 2–1 | |
| 27 Jul 2026, 18:00 |  IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1 76%X 19%2 6% | 2–1 | |
| 27 Jul 2026, 19:15 |  Thor Akureyri | 1 69%X 21%2 10% | 2–1 | |
| 01 Aug 2026, 14:00 |  Fram Reykjavik | 1 28%X 28%2 44% | 1–1 |
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA AkureyriRecent results · what the model said before kickoff
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 45 of 87 rated matches this season (52%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026, 19:15 | 2–3 | Fram Reykjavik | 1 42%X 28%2 29% | ✗ | |
| 18 Jul 2026, 16:00 |
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik