10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Chengdu Better City win the league in 100% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026, 09:30 | 1 32%X 29%2 38% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 1 36%X 30%2 34% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 1 41%X 29%2 31% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 1 35%X 30%2 35% | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 11:00 | 1 59%X 24%2 17% | 2–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 1 57%X 25%2 19% | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 1 57%X 25%2 18% | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 1 54%X 25%2 20% | 1–1 | ||
| 31 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 1 53%X 26%2 21% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 11:00 | 1 51%X 26%2 22% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 11:35 | 1 58%X 24%2 18% | 2–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 11:35 | 1 44%X 28%2 28% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 12:00 | 1 80%X 17%2 3% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 12:00 | 1 35%X 30%2 35% | 1–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 10:00 | 1 55%X 25%2 20% | 1–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 11:35 | 1 23%X 26%2 51% | 1–1 |
See how much each fixture swings the title and relegation races — with Pro.
Go Pro — €3.99/moModel’s most-likely outcome hit 67 of 148 rated matches this season (45%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 2–0 | 1 42%X 29%2 30% | ✓ | ||
| 18 Jul 2026, 11:35 |
| 3–1 |
1 23%X 26%2 50% |
| ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 0–2 | 1 64%X 23%2 13% | ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 11:00 | 1–1 | 1 36%X 30%2 35% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 2–2 | 1 31%X 29%2 40% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 5–1 | 1 53%X 26%2 21% | ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 1–1 | 1 70%X 21%2 10% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 11:00 | 1–1 | 1 20%X 25%2 54% | ✗ |
| 14 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 3–2 | 1 54%X 25%2 20% | ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 1–1 | 1 76%X 19%2 6% | ✗ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 3–0 | 1 27%X 28%2 45% | ✗ |
| 10 Jul 2026, 11:35 | 4–3 | 1 62%X 23%2 15% | ✓ |