Premiership season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Celtic win the league in 65% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Celtic | 1635 | 0 | 85.8 | 65% | — | |
 Rangers | 1555 | 0 | 75.0 | 20% | 0.1% | |
 Heart Of Midlothian | 1524 | 0 | 70.6 | 11% | 0.3% | |
 Hibernian | 1438 | 0 | 59.3 | 2.3% | 3.0% | |
 Motherwell | 1428 | 0 | 57.4 | 1.6% | 3.8% | |
 Kilmarnock | 1327 | 0 | 44.3 | 0.1% | 28% | |
 Dundee Utd | 1316 | 0 | 43.2 | 0.1% | 31% | |
 Falkirk | 1296 | 0 | 40.6 | — | 41% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · phase-2 fixtures synthesized — the championship/relegation draw isn't made yet · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works