A-League season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Auckland win the league in 28% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auckland | 1324 | 0 | 46.3 | 28% | 2.1% | |
 Melbourne City | 1319 | 0 | 44.2 | 20% | 3.3% | |
 Newcastle Jets | 1299 | 0 | 43.8 | 19% | 3.9% | |
 Melbourne Victory | 1292 | 0 | 40.2 | 11% | 7.0% | |
 Sydney | 1274 | 0 | 38.9 | 8.1% | 9.3% | |
 Adelaide United | 1257 | 0 | 38.9 | 8.8% | 10% | |
 Macarthur | 1186 | 0 | 31.5 | 1.6% | 30% | |
 Wellington Phoenix | 1180 | 0 | 30.0 | 1.5% | 36% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works