1. Lig season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Fatih Karagümrük win the league in 19% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fatih Karagümrük | 1332 | 0 | 55.9 | 19% | 1.4% | |
 Kayserispor | 1327 | 0 | 55.4 | 18% | 1.6% | |
 Bodrum FK | 1311 | 0 | 53.2 | 13% | 2.5% | |
 Esenler Erokspor | 1307 | 0 | 52.9 | 13% | 2.3% | |
 Antalyaspor | 1296 | 0 | 51.5 | 10% | 3.3% | |
 Bandırmaspor | 1286 | 0 | 50.1 | 8.0% | 4.1% | |
 Keçiörengücü | 1256 | 0 | 46.2 | 4.5% | 8.9% | |
 İstanbulspor | 1240 | 0 | 44.0 | 2.9% | 12% |
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Finishing position distribution
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Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works