Bundesliga season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Lask Linz win the league in 39% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lask Linz | 1534 | 0 | 61.8 | 39% | 0.2% | |
 Sturm Graz | 1516 | 0 | 59.7 | 30% | 0.5% | |
 Red Bull Salzburg | 1481 | 0 | 55.7 | 17% | 1.2% | |
 Austria Vienna | 1425 | 0 | 49.6 | 5.9% | 4.8% | |
 TSV Hartberg | 1396 | 0 | 46.8 | 3.5% | 7.5% | |
 Wolfsberger AC | 1370 | 0 | 44.3 | 1.7% | 13% | |
 Rapid Vienna | 1357 | 0 | 43.0 | 1.2% | 17% | |
 Grazer AK | 1315 | 0 | 38.9 | 0.4% | 34% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · phase-2 fixtures synthesized — the championship/relegation draw isn't made yet · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works