10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
KuPS win the league in 67% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026, 15:00 | 1 22%X 26%2 52% | 1–1 | ||
| 20 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 29%X 28%2 43% | 1–1 | ||
| 24 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 28%X 28%2 44% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 13:30 | 1 28%X 28%2 43% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 1 75%X 19%2 6% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 1 72%X 20%2 8% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 1 70%X 21%2 9% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 1 67%X 22%2 11% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 12:00 | 1 64%X 23%2 14% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 15:00 | 1 48%X 27%2 25% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 14%X 23%2 64% | 0–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 12:00 | 1 22%X 26%2 52% | 1–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 14:00 | 1 21%X 26%2 53% | 1–1 |
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 46 of 94 rated matches this season (49%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026, 15:30 | 0–0 | 1 11%X 22%2 67% | ✗ | ||
| 18 Jul 2026, 14:00 |
| 0–2 |
1 42%X 28%2 29% |
| ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 0–2 | 1 20%X 25%2 55% | ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 2–1 | 1 56%X 25%2 19% | ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 4–2 | 1 65%X 22%2 12% | ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 3–0 | 1 39%X 29%2 32% | ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 2–0 | 1 19%X 25%2 56% | ✗ |
| 10 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1–0 | 1 39%X 29%2 32% | ✓ |