First League season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Shkendija win the league in 50% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shkendija | 1324 | 0 | 40.1 | 50% | — | |
 Vardar Skopje | 1298 | 0 | 38.6 | 37% | 0.2% | |
 Struga | 1174 | 0 | 30.6 | 6.9% | 3.3% | |
 Sileks | 1148 | 0 | 28.7 | 3.9% | 5.8% | |
 Tikveš | 1103 | 0 | 25.5 | 1.6% | 13% | |
 Aresimi | 1037 | 0 | 21.0 | 0.3% | 31% | |
 Bashkimi Kumanovo | 993 | 0 | 18.0 | 0.1% | 50% | |
 Bregalnica Štip | 963 | 0 | 15.9 | 0.1% | 63% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works