Ligat Ha'al season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Hapoel Beer Sheva win the league in 51% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1527 | 0 | 76.4 | 51% | — | |
 Beitar Jerusalem | 1472 | 0 | 69.2 | 23% | 0.1% | |
 Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1453 | 0 | 66.8 | 16% | 0.1% | |
 Maccabi Haifa | 1410 | 0 | 60.9 | 7.5% | 0.4% | |
 Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1343 | 0 | 52.2 | 1.6% | 2.9% | |
 Maccabi Netanya | 1282 | 0 | 44.9 | 0.3% | 11% | |
 Ironi Tiberias | 1256 | 0 | 42.0 | 0.1% | 17% | |
 Hapoel Haifa | 1231 | 0 | 39.2 | 0.1% | 26% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · phase-2 fixtures synthesized — the championship/relegation draw isn't made yet · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works