10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Kairat Almaty win the league in 66% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 1 42%X 29%2 30% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 13:00 | 1 42%X 29%2 30% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 15:00 | 1 58%X 24%2 18% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 1 64%X 23%2 13% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 13:00 | 1 64%X 23%2 13% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 1 66%X 22%2 12% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 1 61%X 24%2 16% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 15:00 | 1 32%X 29%2 39% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 12:00 | 1 53%X 26%2 21% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 14:00 | 1 26%X 27%2 47% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 15:00 | 1 50%X 27%2 24% | 1–0 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 12:00 | 1 56%X 25%2 19% | 1–0 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 12:00 | 1 20%X 25%2 55% | 0–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 13:00 | 1 27%X 28%2 46% | 1–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 15:00 | 1 59%X 24%2 17% | 1–0 |
See how much each fixture swings the title and relegation races — with Pro.
Go Pro — €3.99/moModel’s most-likely outcome hit 57 of 141 rated matches this season (40%).
| 1–3 |
1 9%X 21%2 70% |
| ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 13:00 | 1–1 | 1 57%X 25%2 18% | ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 13:00 | 1–1 | 1 26%X 27%2 47% | ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 2–0 | 1 55%X 25%2 20% | ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 15:00 | 3–1 | 1 56%X 25%2 19% | ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 3–2 | 1 58%X 24%2 17% | ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 13:00 | 1–0 | 1 41%X 29%2 31% | ✓ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 15:00 | 3–2 | 1 13%X 22%2 65% | ✗ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 13:00 | 0–1 | 1 49%X 27%2 25% | ✗ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 12:00 | 0–1 | 1 41%X 29%2 30% | ✗ |