Championship season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
West Ham win the league in 60% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 West Ham | 1747 | 0 | 104.0 | 60% | — | |
 Southampton | 1648 | 0 | 88.8 | 13% | — | |
 Wolves | 1647 | 0 | 88.7 | 13% | 0.1% | |
 Burnley | 1614 | 0 | 83.3 | 6.9% | 0.1% | |
 Millwall | 1563 | 0 | 74.0 | 1.9% | 1.2% | |
 Middlesbrough | 1535 | 0 | 69.2 | 1.0% | 2.4% | |
 Norwich | 1530 | 0 | 68.1 | 1.0% | 2.7% | |
 Lincoln | 1528 | 0 | 67.8 | 0.9% | 2.9% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works