Premiership season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Larne win the league in 52% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Larne | 1282 | 0 | 82.8 | 52% | — | |
 Coleraine FC | 1237 | 0 | 77.1 | 27% | 0.1% | |
 Glentoran | 1189 | 0 | 70.6 | 13% | 0.3% | |
 Linfield | 1157 | 0 | 66.0 | 6.7% | 0.6% | |
 Cliftonville FC | 1065 | 0 | 53.7 | 0.7% | 6.1% | |
 Carrick Rangers | 1036 | 0 | 50.3 | 0.4% | 11% | |
 Dungannon Swifts | 1000 | 0 | 45.6 | 0.1% | 22% | |
 Portadown | 963 | 0 | 41.4 | — | 35% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · phase-2 fixtures synthesized — the championship/relegation draw isn't made yet · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works