League One season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Leicester win the league in 25% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leicester | 1444 | 0 | 87.7 | 25% | 0.1% | |
 Plymouth | 1416 | 0 | 82.9 | 16% | 0.3% | |
 Luton | 1412 | 0 | 82.1 | 14% | 0.3% | |
 Oxford United | 1407 | 0 | 81.3 | 13% | 0.4% | |
 Stockport County | 1392 | 0 | 78.6 | 10% | 0.7% | |
 Mansfield Town | 1367 | 0 | 74.1 | 5.8% | 1.3% | |
 Wycombe | 1344 | 0 | 70.0 | 3.8% | 2.6% | |
 Reading | 1327 | 0 | 66.7 | 2.3% | 4.5% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works