League Two season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Port Vale win the league in 21% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Port Vale | 1243 | 0 | 85.6 | 21% | 0.1% | |
 Exeter City | 1242 | 0 | 85.4 | 20% | 0.1% | |
 Salford City | 1200 | 0 | 78.1 | 9.3% | 0.5% | |
 Grimsby | 1198 | 0 | 77.7 | 8.8% | 0.7% | |
 Barnet | 1198 | 0 | 77.6 | 8.5% | 0.7% | |
 Chesterfield | 1193 | 0 | 76.8 | 8.0% | 0.9% | |
 Rotherham | 1183 | 0 | 75.0 | 6.2% | 1.1% | |
 Swindon Town | 1156 | 0 | 70.1 | 3.4% | 2.3% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works