Ligue 1 season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Paris Saint Germain win the league in 90% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paris Saint Germain | 2013 | 0 | 86.1 | 90% | — | |
 Lens | 1795 | 0 | 64.5 | 4.2% | 0.1% | |
 Lyon | 1749 | 0 | 59.0 | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
 Lille | 1736 | 0 | 57.4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
 Monaco | 1728 | 0 | 56.1 | 0.9% | 0.8% | |
 Marseille | 1722 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
 Rennes | 1722 | 0 | 55.5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | |
 Strasbourg | 1690 | 0 | 51.5 | 0.4% | 2.0% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works