10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Criciuma win the league in 37% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 53%X 26%2 21% | 1–0 | ||
| 21 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 41%X 29%2 31% | 1–1 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 00:35 | 1 27%X 28%2 46% | 0–1 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 53%X 26%2 21% | 1–0 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 75%X 19%2 6% | 1–0 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 48%X 27%2 25% | 1–0 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 | 1 38%X 29%2 33% | 1–1 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 50%X 26%2 23% | 1–0 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 45%X 28%2 27% | 1–0 | ||
| 24 Jul 2026, 00:30 | 1 21%X 26%2 53% | 0–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 1 76%X 19%2 6% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 1 29%X 28%2 42% | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 21:30 | 1 28%X 28%2 44% | 0–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 21:30 | 1 24%X 27%2 50% | 0–1 | ||
| 27 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 44%X 28%2 28% | 1–0 | ||
| 27 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 44%X 28%2 28% | 1–0 | ||
| 27 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 44%X 28%2 28% | 1–0 | ||
| 28 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 23%X 26%2 50% | 0–1 | ||
| 28 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 68%X 21%2 11% | 1–0 | ||
| 29 Jul 2026, 00:35 | 1 70%X 20%2 9% | 1–0 |
See how much each fixture swings the title and relegation races — with Pro.
Go Pro — €3.99/moModel’s most-likely outcome hit 76 of 180 rated matches this season (42%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026, 21:00 | 0–0 | 1 56%X 25%2 19% | ✗ | ||
| 18 Jul 2026, 19:00 |
| 2–0 |
1 60%X 24%2 16% |
| ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 1–2 | 1 17%X 24%2 59% | ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 2–2 | 1 43%X 28%2 29% | ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 00:00 | 0–0 | 1 43%X 28%2 29% | ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 00:00 | 1–0 | 1 50%X 26%2 23% | ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 22:00 | 1–1 | 1 27%X 28%2 45% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 22:00 | 2–0 | 1 59%X 24%2 17% | ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 22:00 | 1–1 | 1 40%X 29%2 31% | ✗ |
| 16 Jul 2026, 23:00 | 2–1 | 1 60%X 24%2 16% | ✓ |
| 13 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 0–0 | 1 59%X 24%2 17% | ✗ |
| 13 Jul 2026, 22:00 | 1–1 | 1 43%X 28%2 29% | ✗ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 22:00 | 2–2 | 1 39%X 29%2 32% | ✗ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 21:00 | 1–0 | 1 28%X 28%2 44% | ✗ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 2–2 | 1 30%X 29%2 41% | ✗ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 2–0 | 1 54%X 25%2 20% | ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 14:00 | 2–1 | 1 33%X 29%2 38% | ✗ |
| 10 Jul 2026, 23:00 | 3–3 | 1 57%X 25%2 19% | ✗ |
| 10 Jul 2026, 22:00 | 1–0 | 1 60%X 24%2 16% | ✓ |
| 08 Jul 2026, 23:00 | 1–2 | 1 10%X 21%2 68% | ✓ |