OFC Nations Cup 2024 tournament forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo runs · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
New Zealand won the OFC Nations Cup 2024.
Bracket · advance probability per side
Winner odds · P(lift the trophy) and how far each side reaches
| # | Team | Elo | Win | Reach final | Reach SF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  New Zealand | 1525 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 2 |  Fiji | 1105 | — | — | 100% |
| 3 |  Solomon Islands | 1074 | — | — | — |
| 4 |
Group phase
Group-by-group projections — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 21 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo runs · model sim-1.12.0 · model probabilities, not predictions. How it works
← All season forecasts
Tahiti
Vanuatu
Tonga
Cook Islands
Papua New Guinea
Samoa