Segunda Liga season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Tondela win the league in 28% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 1355 | 0 | 59.0 | 28% | 0.9% | |
 AVS | 1342 | 0 | 57.4 | 23% | 1.1% | |
 Torreense | 1324 | 0 | 55.3 | 17% | 1.6% | |
 Vizela | 1271 | 0 | 48.3 | 6.2% | 6.7% | |
 Farense | 1259 | 0 | 46.9 | 4.5% | 7.8% | |
 União de Leiria | 1252 | 0 | 45.7 | 4.1% | 10% | |
 Chaves | 1240 | 0 | 44.4 | 3.4% | 12% | |
 FC Porto B | 1239 | 0 | 44.2 | 2.9% | 12% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works