J1 League season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Kashima win the league in 37% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kashima | 1553 | 0 | 78.3 | 37% | — | |
 Machida Zelvia | 1520 | 0 | 73.8 | 23% | 0.1% | |
 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1493 | 0 | 69.9 | 14% | 0.2% | |
 Vissel Kobe | 1479 | 0 | 68.1 | 11% | 0.2% | |
 FC Tokyo | 1419 | 0 | 59.3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | |
 Cerezo Osaka | 1417 | 0 | 59.2 | 3.0% | 1.8% | |
 Kashiwa Reysol | 1411 | 0 | 58.1 | 2.6% | 2.3% | |
 Gamba Osaka | 1401 | 0 | 56.7 | 2.0% | 2.8% |
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Finishing position distribution
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Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works