First League season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Levski Sofia win the league in 53% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Levski Sofia | 1491 | 3 | 69.6 | 53% | — | |
 Ludogorets | 1447 | 3 | 65.4 | 31% | — | |
 CSKA Sofia | 1386 | 0 | 58.4 | 11% | 0.1% | |
 CSKA 1948 | 1326 | 1 | 51.3 | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
 Arda Kardzhali | 1283 | 1 | 47.1 | 0.9% | 3.4% | |
 Cherno More Varna | 1270 | 0 | 46.4 | 0.7% | 4.3% | |
 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1229 | 0 | 42.0 | 0.3% | 10% | |
 Botev Plovdiv | 1213 | 0 | 40.5 | 0.1% | 13% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · phase-2 fixtures synthesized — the championship/relegation draw isn't made yet · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works