First League season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Levski Sofia win the league in 53% of 10,000 simulations.
Upcoming · next 14 days · model win / draw / loss
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026, 16:15 |  CSKA Sofia | 1 15%X 23%2 61% | 0–1 | |
| 20 Jul 2026, 18:30 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 51%X 26%2 23% | 1–0 | |
| 24 Jul 2026, 18:15 |  Slavia Sofia | 1 65%X 22%2 13% | 1–0 | |
| 25 Jul 2026, 16:00 |  Botev Vratsa | 1 65%X 22%2 13% | 1–0 | |
| 25 Jul 2026, 18:15 |  Levski Sofia | 1 9%X 21%2 70% | 0–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 16:00 |  Spartak Varna | 1 68%X 21%2 11% | 1–0 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 18:15 |  Septemvri Sofia | 1 62%X 23%2 14% | 1–0 | |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 |  Ludogorets | 1 3%X 17%2 80% | 0–1 | |
| 27 Jul 2026, 18:15 |  Botev Plovdiv | 1 69%X 21%2 10% | 1–0 | |
| 31 Jul 2026, 16:00 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 41%X 29%2 31% | 1–1 | |
| 31 Jul 2026, 18:15 |  Arda Kardzhali | 1 52%X 26%2 22% | 1–0 | |
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | Septemvri Sofia | 1 86%X 14%2 0% | 1–0 | |
| 01 Aug 2026, 18:15 |  Cherno More Varna | 1 36%X 30%2 34% | 1–1 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 16:00 | Botev Vratsa | 1 77%X 18%2 5% | 1–0 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 18:15 |  Dunav Ruse | 1 85%X 14%2 1% | 1–0 |
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv PlovdivRecent results · what the model said before kickoff
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 2 of 5 rated matches this season (40%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026, 16:30 | 1–1 | Cherno More Varna | 1 33%X 29%2 37% | ✗ | |
| 18 Jul 2026, 18:15 |