HNL season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Dinamo Zagreb win the league in 81% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dinamo Zagreb | 1648 | 0 | 84.0 | 81% | — | |
 HNK Rijeka | 1491 | 0 | 64.5 | 8.3% | 1.8% | |
 HNK Hajduk Split | 1489 | 0 | 64.0 | 8.1% | 2.2% | |
 NK Varazdin | 1419 | 0 | 54.1 | 1.7% | 10% | |
 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1366 | 0 | 46.7 | 0.4% | 24% | |
 Istra 1961 | 1349 | 0 | 44.2 | 0.3% | 31% | |
 HNK Gorica | 1322 | 0 | 40.5 | 0.2% | 43% | |
 NK Osijek | 1322 | 0 | 40.4 | 0.1% | 44% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works