Major League Soccer season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Miami | 1559 | 31 | 72.4 | |
| 2 |  Nashville SC | 1487 | 36 | 71.9 | |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 1383 | 26 | 53.9 | |
| 4 |  FC Cincinnati | 1408 | 20 | 49.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 1488 | 32 | 69.5 | |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 1489 | 27 | 61.3 |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeTop-scorer race
The projected top-scorer race — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · MLS Cup and the conference titles are decided by the simulated playoff bracket, not the regular-season table. Seeding tiebreaks are modelled as Points → Wins → goal difference → goals for; head-to-head, disciplinary and home/away sub-tiebreakers are not modelled. · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works
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