10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 52%X 26%2 22% | 1–1 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 45%X 28%2 27% | 1–1 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 46%X 27%2 26% | 1–1 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 33%X 29%2 37% | 1–1 | ||
| 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 70%X 21%2 10% | 1–0 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:15 | 1 63%X 23%2 14% | 1–0 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 | 1 76%X 18%2 5% | 1–0 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 | 1 19%X 25%2 56% | 1–1 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 | 1 14%X 23%2 63% | 0–1 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 | 1 58%X 24%2 18% | 2–1 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 01:30 | 1 26%X 27%2 46% | 1–1 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 | 1 48%X 27%2 25% | 1–1 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 | 1 63%X 23%2 14% | 1–0 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 | 1 36%X 30%2 34% | 1–1 | ||
| 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 | 1 53%X 26%2 21% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 22:30 | 1 42%X 29%2 30% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 23:00 | 1 43%X 28%2 29% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 56%X 25%2 19% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 47%X 27%2 25% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 1 26%X 27%2 46% | 1–1 |
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 113 of 223 rated matches this season (51%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026, 02:25 | 0–3 | 1 27%X 28%2 45% | ✓ | ||
| 18 Jul 2026, 00:10 |
| 1–0 |
1 77%X 18%2 5% |
| ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 02:30 | 1–5 | 1 72%X 20%2 8% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 00:30 | 3–2 | 1 62%X 23%2 14% | ✓ |
| 16 Jul 2026, 23:30 | 0–0 | 1 42%X 28%2 29% | ✗ |