10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
FK Crvena Zvezda win the league in 91% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1631 | 3 | 77.4 | 91% | — | ||
| 1420 | 1 | 56.9 | 4.1% | 0.2% | ||
| 1401 | 0 | 56.0 | 3.4% | 0.5% | ||
| 1333 | 3 | 50.0 | 0.7% | 2.0% | ||
| 1287 | 0 | 45.7 | 0.1% | 7.1% | ||
| 1275 | 3 | 45.4 | 0.1% | 7.4% | ||
| 1266 | 0 | 43.7 | 0.1% | 11% | ||
| 1249 | 0 | 41.9 | 0.1% | 16% |
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · phase-2 fixtures synthesized — the championship/relegation draw isn't made yet · head-to-head tiebreaks approximated as GD→GF · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works