10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
FK Crvena Zvezda win the league in 91% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 1 62%X 23%2 15% | 1–0 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 1 39%X 29%2 32% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 1 55%X 25%2 20% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 17:00 | 1 74%X 19%2 7% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 18:30 | 1 36%X 30%2 34% | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 18:30 | 1 32%X 29%2 38% | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 1 3%X 17%2 80% | 0–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 62%X 23%2 15% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 68%X 21%2 11% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 88%X 12%2 0% | 2–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 35%X 30%2 36% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 45%X 28%2 27% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 46%X 27%2 26% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 3%X 17%2 80% | 0–1 |
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 4 of 7 rated matches this season (57%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026, 17:00 | 4–0 | 1 62%X 23%2 15% | ✓ | ||
| 19 Jul 2026, 17:00 |
| 0–1 |
1 48%X 27%2 25% |
| ✗ |
| 19 Jul 2026, 17:00 | 1–1 | 1 45%X 28%2 27% | ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 1–0 | 1 47%X 27%2 25% | ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 2–2 | 1 11%X 22%2 67% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 5–0 | 1 96%X 4%2 0% | ✓ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 2–1 | 1 61%X 23%2 15% | ✓ |