Premier Division season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Shamrock Rovers win the league in 81% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shamrock Rovers | 1342 | 50 | 72.3 | 81% | — | |
 Bohemians | 1292 | 43 | 63.3 | 8.6% | — | |
 St Patrick's Athl. | 1280 | 42 | 62.7 | 10% | — | |
 Shelbourne | 1246 | 34 | 52.8 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
 Dundalk | 1133 | 35 | 48.1 | — | 4.0% | |
 Derry City | 1202 | 29 | 44.3 | — | 14% | |
 Galway United | 1133 | 27 | 41.9 | — | 34% | |
 Drogheda United | 1119 | 25 | 38.1 | — | 65% |
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Finishing position distribution
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The projected top-scorer race — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works