Premier Division season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Shamrock Rovers win the league in 81% of 10,000 simulations.
Upcoming · next 14 days · model win / draw / loss
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026, 19:00 |  Dundalk | 1 66%X 22%2 12% | 1–0 | |
| 25 Jul 2026, 16:00 |  Waterford | 1 49%X 27%2 24% | 1–1 | |
| 25 Jul 2026, 18:45 |  Drogheda United | 1 39%X 29%2 32% | 1–1 | |
| 31 Jul 2026, 18:45 |  Sligo Rovers | 1 54%X 26%2 21% | 1–0 | |
| 31 Jul 2026, 19:00 |  Shamrock Rovers | 1 17%X 24%2 59% | 0–1 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 14:00 |  Shelbourne | 1 26%X 27%2 47% | 1–1 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 16:00 |  Derry City | 1 57%X 25%2 18% | 1–0 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 18:00 |  Galway United | 1 68%X 21%2 11% | 1–0 |
St Patrick's Athl.
BohemiansMatch importance
See how much each fixture swings the title and relegation races — with Pro.
Go Pro — €3.99/moRecent results · what the model said before kickoff
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 55 of 121 rated matches this season (45%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 3–2 | Sligo Rovers | 1 52%X 26%2 22% | ✓ | |
| 10 Jul 2026, 19:00 |