A Lyga season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Kauno Žalgiris win the league in 55% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kauno Žalgiris | 1265 | 34 | 55.9 | 55% | — | |
 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1226 | 28 | 50.1 | 14% | 0.3% | |
 Banga | 1167 | 30 | 49.8 | 12% | 0.3% | |
 Suduva Marijampole | 1182 | 30 | 49.2 | 11% | 0.4% | |
 Džiugas Telšiai | 1108 | 30 | 45.9 | 3.8% | 1.3% | |
 TransINVEST Vilnius | 1109 | 29 | 45.0 | 2.8% | 2.4% | |
 Hegelmann Litauen | 1099 | 19 | 34.0 | — | 45% | |
 Panevėžys | 1081 | 19 | 33.1 | — | 58% |
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Finishing position distribution
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Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works