10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Kauno Žalgiris win the league in 55% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026, 15:45 | 1 58%X 24%2 18% | 1–0 | ||
| 24 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 35%X 30%2 35% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 58%X 24%2 18% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 15:45 | 1 43%X 28%2 29% | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 57%X 25%2 18% | 1–0 | ||
| 27 Jul 2026, 15:45 | 1 26%X 27%2 46% | 1–1 | ||
| 30 Jul 2026, 16:30 | 1 53%X 26%2 21% | 1–0 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 15:45 | 1 40%X 29%2 31% | 1–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 45%X 28%2 27% | 1–1 |
See how much each fixture swings the title and relegation races — with Pro.
Go Pro — €3.99/moModel’s most-likely outcome hit 48 of 105 rated matches this season (46%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 3–1 | 1 62%X 23%2 14% | ✓ | ||
| 19 Jul 2026, 15:45 |
| 1–0 |
1 36%X 30%2 34% |
| ✓ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 4–0 | 1 74%X 19%2 7% | ✓ |
| 12 Jul 2026, 15:45 | 1–3 | 1 41%X 29%2 30% | ✗ |
| 11 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 3–0 | 1 66%X 22%2 12% | ✓ |
| 06 Jul 2026, 15:45 | 0–0 | 1 55%X 25%2 20% | ✗ |