Virsliga season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Rīgas FS win the league in 49% of 10,000 simulations.
Upcoming · next 14 days · model win / draw / loss
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2026, 12:00 |  Riga | 1 1%X 14%2 85% | 0–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 15:30 |  FK Liepaja | 1 30%X 29%2 41% | 1–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 16:00 |  BFC Daugavpils | 1 61%X 24%2 16% | 1–0 | |
| 27 Jul 2026, 15:00 |  Rīgas FS | 1 1%X 14%2 85% | 0–1 | |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 |  Ogre United | 1 49%X 27%2 25% | 1–1 | |
| 01 Aug 2026, 13:00 |  FS Jelgava | 1 55%X 25%2 20% | 1–1 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 13:00 |  Tukums | 1 70%X 21%2 10% | 1–0 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 15:00 |  Grobiņa | 1 93%X 7%2 0% | 2–0 | |
| 02 Aug 2026, 17:00 |  Super Nova | 1 91%X 9%2 0% | 2–0 | |
| 03 Aug 2026, 15:00 | Ogre United | 1 78%X 18%2 4% | 1–0 |
AudaRecent results · what the model said before kickoff
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 69 of 114 rated matches this season (61%).