10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Celje win the league in 51% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 7%X 19%2 73% | 0–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 21%X 26%2 53% | 1–1 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 18:15 | 1 70%X 21%2 9% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 1 77%X 18%2 5% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 18:15 | 1 76%X 18%2 5% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 40%X 29%2 31% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 18:15 | 1 67%X 22%2 11% | 1–0 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 16:00 | 1 21%X 26%2 54% | 1–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 18:15 | 1 71%X 20%2 9% | 1–0 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 18:15 | 1 12%X 22%2 65% | 0–1 |
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 1 of 5 rated matches this season (20%).
| 0–2 |
1 45%X 28%2 27% |
| ✗ |
| 18 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 0–2 | 1 56%X 25%2 19% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 18:15 | 2–2 | 1 84%X 15%2 1% | ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 16:00 | 0–2 | 1 10%X 21%2 69% | ✓ |