10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Forge win the league in 67% of 10,000 simulations.
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026, 22:00 | 1 62%X 23%2 15% | 1–0 | ||
| 25 Jul 2026, 02:00 | 1 15%X 23%2 61% | 0–1 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 18:00 | 1 77%X 18%2 5% | 1–0 | ||
| 26 Jul 2026, 21:00 | 1 18%X 25%2 57% | 0–1 | ||
| 29 Jul 2026, 01:00 | 1 81%X 16%2 3% | 1–0 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 02:00 | 1 39%X 29%2 32% | 1–1 | ||
| 01 Aug 2026, 22:00 | 1 24%X 27%2 49% | 1–1 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 01:00 | 1 71%X 20%2 9% | 1–0 | ||
| 02 Aug 2026, 22:00 | 1 19%X 25%2 56% | 0–1 |
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 28 of 49 rated matches this season (57%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026, 19:00 | 1–1 | 1 72%X 20%2 8% | ✗ | ||
| 17 Jul 2026, 23:00 |
| 1–1 |
1 62%X 23%2 15% |
| ✗ |
| 17 Jul 2026, 23:00 | 1–5 | 1 42%X 28%2 30% | ✗ |