Serie A season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Palmeiras win the league in 66% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Palmeiras | 1624 | 41 | 83.1 | 66% | — | |
 Flamengo | 1621 | 34 | 78.6 | 32% | — | |
 Fluminense | 1497 | 32 | 62.6 | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
 Botafogo | 1496 | 25 | 58.0 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
 RB Bragantino | 1447 | 30 | 57.5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
 Cruzeiro | 1498 | 24 | 56.3 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
 Atletico Paranaense | 1404 | 30 | 54.8 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
 Bahia | 1413 | 29 | 54.7 | 0.1% | 1.3% |
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Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works