Serie A season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Palmeiras win the league in 66% of 10,000 simulations.
Upcoming · next 14 days · model win / draw / loss
| Kickoff | Home | Away | Model (1 X 2) | Likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026, 22:30 |  Bahia | 1 47%X 27%2 26% | 1–1 | |
| 22 Jul 2026, 22:30 |  Palmeiras | 1 12%X 22%2 66% | 0–1 | |
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 |  Atletico Paranaense | 1 50%X 27%2 24% | 1–1 | |
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 |  Flamengo | 1 4%X 18%2 78% | 0–1 | |
| 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 |  Cruzeiro | 1 32%X 29%2 39% | 1–1 | |
| 23 Jul 2026, 22:30 |  Remo | 1 68%X 21%2 11% | 1–0 | |
| 23 Jul 2026, 22:30 |  Vitoria | 1 58%X 24%2 18% | 1–0 | |
| 25 Jul 2026, 21:30 |  Chapecoense-sc | 1 68%X 21%2 11% | 1–0 | |
| 25 Jul 2026, 21:30 |  Internacional | 1 45%X 28%2 27% | 1–1 | |
| 25 Jul 2026, 23:30 |  Mirassol | 1 33%X 29%2 38% | 1–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 |  Corinthians | 1 37%X 30%2 33% | 1–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 19:00 |  Botafogo | 1 46%X 28%2 27% | 1–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 21:30 |  Fluminense | 1 33%X 29%2 38% | 1–1 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 21:30 |  Sao Paulo | 1 71%X 20%2 9% | 1–0 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 21:30 |  Coritiba | 1 60%X 24%2 16% | 1–0 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 22:30 |  Atletico-MG | 1 72%X 20%2 8% | 1–0 | |
| 26 Jul 2026, 22:30 | Vitoria | 1 30%X 29%2 42% | 1–1 | |
| 29 Jul 2026, 20:00 |  Vasco DA Gama | 1 27%X 28%2 46% | 1–1 | |
| 29 Jul 2026, 20:00 |  Gremio | 1 58%X 24%2 18% | 1–0 | |
| 29 Jul 2026, 20:00 |  Santos | 1 51%X 26%2 22% | 1–0 |
Match importance
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Go Pro — €3.99/moRecent results · what the model said before kickoff
Model’s most-likely outcome hit 97 of 182 rated matches this season (53%).
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Model said (1 X 2) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026, 23:00 | 1–1 |  RB Bragantino | 1 54%X 25%2 20% | ✗ | |
| 17 Jul 2026, 23:00 |