Bundesliga season forecast
10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · updated nightly · model probabilities, not predictions
Bayern München win the league in 92% of 10,000 simulations.
| Team | Elo | Pts | Proj Pts | Title | Bottom 3 | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayern München | 2095 | 0 | 89.4 | 92% | — | |
 Borussia Dortmund | 1870 | 0 | 69.7 | 4.0% | — | |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 1841 | 0 | 66.4 | 2.4% | — | |
 VfB Stuttgart | 1789 | 0 | 60.2 | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
 RB Leipzig | 1790 | 0 | 60.1 | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
 SC Freiburg | 1733 | 0 | 52.8 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
 1899 Hoffenheim | 1728 | 0 | 52.3 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
 FSV Mainz 05 | 1690 | 0 | 47.2 | — | 4.0% |
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Finishing position distribution
The full finishing-position heatmap — free with an account.
Sign in freeForecast from 19 Jul 2026 · 10,000 Monte Carlo seasons · model sim-1.9.0 · model probabilities, not predictions — injuries and rotation are invisible to it. How it works